Obama not to Blame for the Anti-Marriage Constitutional Amendment in Florida

Stephanie Slade & Daniel A. Smith of the University of Florida


After analyzing both quantitative and qualitative studies, the authors find, “we have determined that a surge of minorities turned out to vote in 2008 in Florida, that these individuals were overwhelmingly supportive of Obama, that the rolloff on Amendment 2 experienced by counties where they voted in the largest numbers was no higher than in other places, and most importantly, that this surge of Obama supporters almost certainly was not responsible for the success of Florida’s gay marriage ban.” [PDF]