Freedom to Marry’s Evan Wolfson looks at those polls showing Marriage Equality winning

Posted by Steve Weinstein on edgewashington.com:

"You probably saw the headlines: Two recent polls indicate support for marriage for same-sex couples continues to rise in every state; reflecting a growing trend towards acceptance of gay and lesbian relationships.

"As reported here, a nationwide CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll in August showed that 52 percent of respondents agreed when asked, 'Do you think gays and lesbians should have a constitutional right to get married and have their marriage recognized by law as valid?'

"That was the first national poll in which a majority of Americans voiced support for equal marriage rights. But it wasn’t the last.

"In mid-September, an Associated Press-National Constitution Center poll showed that Americans have grown distrustful of government and both parties. But more and more of them love their gay neighbors, relatives and friends.

"The poll found growing sentiment for legal protections for same-sex couples, with a whopping 58 percent saying they should have the same government benefits as married heterosexuals. Nearly as many backed federal recognition of the freedom to marry.

"After the heartbreaking defeat of the passage of Proposition 8, which banned marriage equality in California in 2008, and then the defeat of marriage in a Maine plebiscite, this would seem like very good news.

"Evan Wolfson voices a note of caution, however--even though he himself is quite pleased with the polls. And he should know: Wolfson has been on the front lines of this issue at least as long, if not longer than anyone.

"Wolfson founded and directs Freedom to Marry, a New York-based nonprofit dedicated to legalization of marriage equality. He wrote the highly influential book Why Marriage Matters; America, Equality, and Gay People’s Right to Marry. And Time Magazine named him among the 100 Most Influential People in the World.

"Wolfson worked on the early, seminal cases that brought gay unions to the fore, in Hawaii and Vermont. He argued the famous case against the Boy Scouts of America for their anti-gay stance in front of the U.S. Supreme Court.

"EDGE spoke to Wolfson about the survey results, what they mean, what they portend, and what we (and our politicians) should all be doing about it.

"EDGE: So what just happened? How’d we seemingly so suddenly get majority support from fellow Americans?

"Evan Wolfson: Maine happened last year and this is this year. More important than any one poll--which is a ’snapshot’ which is how people respond at any one time--is the ’movie’: building the momentum.

"The movie shows that, as we engage more and more people in conversation about why marriage matters, opposition declines. These two polls demonstrate that we’ve crossed another important threshold, but have to solidify our position in one-on-one conversations.

"EDGE: I see. You advise caution. But still, those numbers are pretty cool.

"E.W.: No one should overstate the comfort that being in the majority gives us. We have to turn this into action. But nevertheless, yes, it is an important milestone. It shows Americans have moved, can move, and we can get them to move.

"EDGE: Break down the numbers a little.

"E.W.: The polls show support in every demographic and community but progress everywhere. That shows how much more we can do.

"There was movement even among the parts of the population disproportionately opposed: among self-identified Evangelicals, Republicans. Obviously, in other parts of the population--Democrats, women--there’s more support.

"It’s not evenly spread--but it never is. The real issue is not an even spread but that are we are moving people.

... "EDGE; Why else are these polls important?

"E.W.: When public opinion swings in our direction, it influences decision makers--judges and lawmakers. It makes more states reachable for victory.

"The more people remember they have more pressing issues than trying to undermine the family across the street, the more people move toward accepting this."

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